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Edited by Greg Hill
08/18/2008 08:42:41 PM
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Keys
to the collapse of the IT Industry and Future Thoughts
By Greg Hill
Introduction:
It seemed like the IT Industry collapsed and burned with
the "Perfect Storm" of disasters at the beginning of 2000.
First, Y2K came and went quietly, making companies wonder if the money they had
spent to prevent the predicted disaster had been wasted. Then the "Dot Com"
fiasco came to a head, further indicating to businesses that investments in
computer technology may be foolish. Then came 9/11/2001 and suddenly Corporate
America had more important places to spend their money. But the end had been
coming for a long time, as it does for any industry that constantly promises great things and almost never delivers.
It is very easy to see the potential of well designed and crafted hardware
and software computer systems. Actual examples exist, though they are not
common. Far more prevalent are very expensive, multi-year projects that
ended as total failures. The true magnitude of the cost will never
be known because companies buried it their overall budgets. What senior
management saw was that IT promised great things and delivered only one, a
massive black hole that consumed an unbelievable amount of resources, including
hundreds of whole companies. Famous software catastrophes include high profile
failures like the S&L failure in Denver that may have started the dominos
falling to create the S&L crisis. There are also unknown failures that cost
millions and may have actually caused companies to fail, such as the First
Trust/Lansa project and Frontier Airlines/AS400 projects in Denver. Other famous
failures in Colorado include the Colorado State multi-million dollar fiascos
involving the welfare, registration/elections and vehicle title systems
engineered by big name consulting firm Accenture, among others. We could go on
and on, the examples are endless, or as one pundit put it, the norm rather than
the exception.
Largely because of these massive failures, companies and
governments backed away from building new computer systems and web
presences out of whole cloth and looked for a more efficient, economical
approach.
But the computer industry hype machine is nothing if not resilient, and thus
was born the ERP/SOA/OOP strategy, and its evil step children, COTS, RAD, Agile
software development, and SaaS. Some of the same companies that created the big
dollar failures in the past are now selling new "technologies" that are really
nothing more than sophisticated smoke and mirrors. The entire Service-Oriented
Architecture (SOA) paradigm is built around the concept that companies can
retain and enhance their existing software and/or COTS systems by encapsulating them and
connecting them using "Services". These services are a nebulous concept,
however, which can mean just about anything in the hands of skilled purveyors of
cyber-babble. Babblers include consulting firms like EDS, Anderson Consulting,
Accenture, Microsoft, etc., not to mention CIOs and other computer executives
who embrace these vaporous concepts in order to increase their influence and
fill their pockets. "Services" is the ultra buzzword of the 21st century,
bolstered by volumes of standards and "best practices" published by ITIL, ISO,
Microsoft and others. Careful reading of these tomes will reveal a concept
without an implementation, a framework without support, an idea without
substance.
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